Our results show that the federal government responded on a larger scale and much more quickly across measures of federal money and staffing to Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in Texas and Florida, compared with Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico. The variation in the responses was not commensurate with storm severity and need after landfall in the case of Puerto Rico compared with Texas and Florida. Assuming that disaster responses should be at least commensurate to the degree of storm severity and need of the population, the insufficient response received by Puerto Rico raises concern for growth in health disparities and increases in adverse health outcomes
Damage to the NSF and Science
Trump’s Shutdown Has Led To A ‘Slow Strangling’ Of American Science. The longest government shutdown in history has kept the National Science Foundation from divvying out grants that were worth nearly $122 million in the same period last year.
Resilience Bonds
Review of RESILIENCE BONDS: A BUSINESS-MODEL FOR RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE by Shalini Vaijhala and James Rhodes, re:focus partners, 2018/
Source: https://www.institut.veolia.org/en/resilience-bonds-business-model-resilient-infrastructure
Reviewer: Jasper Cooke
This article outlines a financial strategy to help facilitate greater investment in mitigation, called a Resilience Bond. These bonds are designed to solve the challenge of investing in mitigation when the benefits are uncertain and would occur far into the future.
What are Resilience Bonds and how do they address this problem? Simply put, they are a form of insurance. They build on the idea of Catastrophe Bonds (Cat Bonds), which are much more like “insurance policies and not traditional municipal bonds.” They usually differ from traditional insurance in that once disaster losses reach a pre-set level, the Cat Bonds immediately pay out. Resilience Bonds include the addition that if a community implements a mitigation project that quantifiably reduces the risk to the insured property (and therefore the likelihood that the Cat Bond will ever have to pay out), then the ‘sponsor’ of the Resilience Bond (i.e. the person looking to reduce their own risk) will get a premium reduction.
To use an analogy from the authors, “If Catastrophe Bonds are similar to life insurance policies that only pay out when the worst disasters strike, then Resilience Bonds are more like progressive health insurance programs that provide incentives to make healthy choices—quitting smoking or exercising regularly—that reduce long-term risks and the cost of care.”
While the market for Cat Bonds is estimated at $30 billion annually and growing, the authors also lay out some challenges before issuance of the first Resilience Bond. For example, responsibility for public assets is often very broad and the process to implement a mitigation project suitable for a Resilience Bond could take years. Since the bond wouldn’t take effect until the project is complete, it can be hard to synchronize the timelines. The authors recommend collaborating both with design and engineering firms, as well as financial partners, so that the project can take advantage of all perspectives early on. Continuing the life insurance analogy, your life insurance company has to find out that you’ve quit smoking to reduce your rate, so these kinds of collaborative discussions are key for all partners to fully appreciate and realize the benefits.
Ultimately the authors hope that Resilience Bonds will help further increase the number of mitigation investments both by creating a direct financial incentive and by creating a broader quantified understanding of risk and risk reduction benefits. In my view, they are right. Resilience bonds make sense and, as long as catastrophe bonds continue to increase in popularity, resilience bonds will also continue to grow in potential utility. Better understanding of risk is key to any comprehensive national or local program to reduce it, along with clear responsibility for the range of risks a community faces, and resilience bonds can directly address these areas.
“Weather, Climate and Catastrophe Insight”
From Aon, this 88 page report: Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight: 2018 Annual Report.
Article about the report: Four Climate-Influenced Disasters Cost the U.S. $53 Billion in 2018. Two wildfires and two hurricanes were among the costliest disasters worldwide
Breaking the Cycle of Flooding
Breaking the Cycle of “Flood-Rebuild-Repeat”: New White Paper from the Sabin Center and the Natural Resources Defense Council
Since September 2017, Congress has kept the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) afloat with a series of short-term extensions, repeatedly punting on a valuable opportunity to issue a long-term reauthorization and reform the program to better protect communities from the increased risks of flooding spurred by climate change. But the federal government is not the only entity poised to take action. A new white paper from the Sabin Center and the Natural Resources Defense Council, “Breaking the Cycle of “Flood-Rebuild-Repeat”: Local and State Options to Improve Substantial Damage and Improvement Standards in the National Flood Insurance Program,” proposes legal and policy reforms that states and localities can implement to make their communities more resilient and to update the NFIP for the realities of climate change.
Thanks to Chris Jones for the citation.
Once Again: Preparedness and Mitigation Need To Be a Higher Priority
From The Guardian: The US won’t be prepared for the next natural disaster. Every $1 spent on hazard mitigation saves the nation $6 in future disaster costs, yet billions are still spent on recovery efforts
New GAO Report on Global Migration
Climate Change: Activities of Selected Agencies to Address Potential Impact on Global Migration. The report urges Dept. of State to take action:
Climate change may increase the frequency and intensity of natural disasters, which could drive people around the world from their homes.
We found that, while the State Department, USAID, and DOD haven’t focused on the link between climate change and migration, State identified migration as a risk in one of its climate change risk assessments in early 2017.
However, State later changed its approach and no longer provides clear guidance to its staff on how to assess climate change risks. This may prevent it from identifying and addressing climate change as a factor in human migration.
We recommended State provide its staff with this guidance.
Resilience Handbook for New Governors
From the U.S. Climate Alliance: New Governors’ Resilience Playbook; a 27 page handbook.
There are some useful data and charts regarding numbers and losses from disasters in recent years. Interesting that state officials are urging others to take action.
Still More on Effects of the Shutdown
From the NYTimes: ‘It’s Making Us Less Prepared’: Shutdown Slows Planning for Hurricanes and Other Disasters
For experts who make a living forecasting hurricanes, storm season is a year-round worry. When the tropics are calm, as they are now, researchers dive into data, analyze results, improve scientific models and train state and local officials on the latest technology that can help them make lifesaving decisions.
But the partial government shutdown — the longest in United States history — has brought much of that fieldwork and instruction to a halt. Most researchers have been furloughed, and training academies and courses have been canceled, with no makeup dates in sight.
Federal Shutdown Affects Many Websites
From the Wash Post: Shutdown is Steadily Devouring U.S. Government websites.
From NextGov: Shutdown Takes Numerous Government Digital Services Offline.
The Diva is working on a new book and she is concerned with the problems authors are having with federal websites. She is sure many authors and researchers have noticed.