We Should Be Worried About Hurricane Season

From the NYTimes: A Hurricane Season Like No Other. Some excerpts:

“But as we head into what NOAA forecasts will be another active Atlantic hurricane season, the Trump administration and the so-called Department of Government Efficiency are downsizing the agency, which houses the National Weather Service, the hurricane hunters and many other programs crucial to hurricane forecasters. Without the arsenal of tools from NOAA and its 6.3 billion observations sourced each day, the routinely detected hurricanes of today could become the deadly surprise hurricanes of tomorrow.”

“Within NOAA, research and forecasting are inextricably linked. In new budget documents released Friday, the White House proposed eliminating NOAA’s research wing, the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, which lends mission-critical support to the hurricane hunters. Taking a sledgehammer to OAR would shatter decades of progress in hurricane forecasting, one of the roaring success stories of predictive sciences. The fate of the agency’s research arm is now in the hands of Congress.”

Cuts to NOAA Budget Have Critical Implications

From HSNW: As Hurricane Season Approaches, Trump’s NOAA Budget Cuts Threaten Safety

“President Trump’s NOAA cuts will significantly hamper the public’s understanding of the environment and weather forecasting, negatively affecting people in the United States and abroad.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued its initial outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, predicting a 60 percent chance of an “above-normal season” of weather activity. The agency says this could include up to ten named storms developing into hurricanes over the next six months.”

Alarming News About Current FEMA Staffing Plans

From CNN, this article about current plans at FEMA at the start of what is likely to be a busy hurricane season: DHS inserts staffers at FEMA in major shakeup before hurricane season.  

“The Department of Homeland Security is inserting more than a half-dozen of its officials into key front office roles at the Federal Emergency Management Agency to effectively run the agency, according to multiple sources and an internal memo obtained by CNN.

The major shakeup comes less than two weeks before the official start of hurricane season. The homeland security officials will replace several longtime FEMA leaders, marking an inflection point in the Trump administration’s takeover of the disaster relief agency.

In a memo issued Wednesday, FEMA leadership formally announced the sweeping reorganization amid confusion, turmoil and a shrinking workforce at the agency under the administration, which has vowed to “eliminate” FEMA altogether.

The new officials will serve in critical advisory positions under new acting FEMA administrator David Richardson, a DHS official himself. They appear to have limited experience managing natural disasters, according to bios included in Wednesday’s announcement. Like Richardson, most of them have been serving in the Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction office at DHS, and some will split their time with their other roles at Homeland Security.”