From Politico, this article re staff at CSIS who prepared a pandemic scenario a year ago. Here are details of that event, which closely resembles what we are dealing with currently re COVID-19.
See: We Predicted a Coronavirus Pandemic. Here’s What Policymakers Could Have Seen Coming. “Last year we ran a disaster scenario shockingly similar to the news now. Here’s what experts realized the world is getting wrong, and how they can fix it.”