When Politics Interfered With Weather Forecasting – H. Dorian

From the WashPost: New emails show how President Trump roiled NOAA during Hurricane Dorian

A trove of newly released documents released on Friday evening provide the clearest glimpse yet into how President Trump’s inaccurate statements, altered forecast map and tweets regarding Hurricane Dorian’s forecast path rattled top officials along with rank and file scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in September.

Re Recovery in the Bahamas

From CNA, this brief article: How the Bahamas Can Rebuild Quickly — Learning from Puerto Rico; by Delilah Barton.

Reading the news reports and seeing the images of the destruction in the Bahamas after Hurricane Dorian, I am reminded of our work in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands following Hurricane Maria. When an island community faces such catastrophic damage, efforts to help and rebuild are difficult and slow. The first impulse is to send immediate aid in the form of food, water and other lifesaving commodities. In the initial days that is essential, but what we have learned in Puerto Rico is that when the damage is on a catastrophic scale — as is now the case in the Bahamas — no government can meet the needs of an entire island’s population. The private sector is key to recovery.

In the aftermath of Hurricane Maria in 2017, the devastation in Puerto Rico was shocking and pleas for help were ubiquitous in news coverage. As a result, the U.S. government launched the largest food mission in U.S. history. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) was able to provide more than 30 million meals to the Puerto Rican government during the first 6 months to an island of 3.4 million people. Despite the massive mission, the relief effort amounted to only nine meals per person over six months.

Yet at the same time, the island’s grocers were open within days of landfall and even reported the largest volume of food sales since 2009. In fact, within four weeks of landfall, over 90 percent of residents were fulfilling fundamental needs through the capacity of preexisting private sector supply chains or ad-hoc replacements. Not realizing that, FEMA continued to focus on delivering food and water, inadvertently blocking the efforts of the private sector to recover quickly by taking up limited trucking resources, vessel capacity and dock space at the ports needed for distribution.

Observations re Bahamas

To date, the Diva has not been able to find any articles about how recovery and rebuilding will be done in the very vulnerable Bahama Islands recently devastated. Here are some articles re inequity and climate justice.

From Inside Climate News: A Shantytown’s Warning About Climate Change and Poverty from Hurricane-Ravaged Bahamas. Dorian’s devastation highlights a risk that health and justice experts have long warned of: Climate change will hit the most vulnerable populations hardest.

From the WashPost. Hurricane Laid Bare Bahamas Inequity.

What Are the Long-Term Recovery Plans for the Bahamas?

So far the Diva has not seen any analysis of whether the two badly damaged Bahama Islands will have to be emptied of residents and debris and/ or what might be done to raise the standards for rebuilding and repairs.

There is a worrisome precedent. See this article about the problems Barbuda is having with recovery: Bardudans are Resisting Disaster Capitalism Two Years After Hurricane Irma?

Sept. 9: One useful article on the topic of long term recovery comes from RAND. See: Hurricane Recovery in the Bahamas: Turning Good Intentions into Good Decisions