Years of Recovery from H. Harvey

From the NYTimes, Deluged Texas Braces for More Rain, and Years of Recovery.

As one of the most destructive storms in the nation’s history pummeled southeast Texas for a fourth day, forecasts on Tuesday morning called for still more rain, making clear that catastrophic flooding that had turned neighborhoods into lakes was just the start of a disaster that would take years to overcome.

Local, state and federal officials conceded that the scale of the crisis was so vast that they were nowhere near being able to measure it, much less fully address it.

A personal note:  the Diva has been engaged in studying disaster recovery for almost 40 years and does not recall ever hearing public officials state in week one of a disaster that the recovery process is likely to take years. The FEMA Administrator said it first a few days ago and several other officials have repeated that dire warning. It is important for public agencies and other organizations engaged in response and recovery activities to think through what a long stay in TX will mean and plan accordingly.

Cost of H. Harvey is Catastrophic

From Bloomberg News: Harvey’s Cost Reaches Catastrophic Level.

Hurricane Harvey’s second act across southern Texas is turning into an economic catastrophe — with damages likely to stretch into tens of billions of dollars and an unusually large share of victims lacking adequate insurance, according to early estimates.

Harvey’s cost could mount to $30 billion when including the impact of relentless flooding on the labor force, power grid, transportation and other elements that support the region’s energy sector, Chuck Watson, a disaster modeler with Enki Research, said in an email Monday. That would place it among the top eight hurricanes to ever strike the U.S.

H. Harvey As Test of Governance

From the WashPost this morning: Cost of cleaning up Harvey will bring new test of governance for Trump and GOPSome excerpts:

The catastrophic floods brought by Hurricane Harvey to southeastern Texas will pose an immediate test for the White House and Congress, pressing policymakers to approve billions of dollars in recovery funds even though they haven’t agreed on much else this year.

Harvey’s devastation poses President Trump’s first test in emergency assistance, potentially revealing whether he can overcome Congress’s deep divisions over spending and the budget to prioritize aid. It will also test whether Trump can suspend his adversarial governing style and even postpone his own agenda, notably an overhaul of the tax code, to assemble a major — and costly — package that could be directed to law enforcement, emergency relief, schools, infrastructure, hospitals, food banks and several other entities.

A related article from the Huff Post: Hurricane Harvey Should Be A Wake-Up Call To Trump’s Disaster Relief Budget.

Some Unique Aspects of H. Harvey

The Diva welcomes comments and additions to this list.

Hurricane Harvey Looks Like Big Trouble – updated

From the Washington Post, early on 8/25, see: Texas in direct path of suddenly intensifying, ‘astounding’ Hurricane Harvey [While there is still time to prepare, note that the Texas Extension Disaster Education Network, Texas EDEN, at http://texashelp.tamu.edu/ has a variety of materials on disaster preparation and recovery.]

See also this WashPost article about response capabilities of the federal government.

Update on 8/25. The Diva is getting word from the field about two looming issues:
(1) the availability and competence of the FEMA reservist workforce, many of whom were alienated during Fugate-era changes; and

(2) The large number of undocumented people residing in Texas communities near the Mexico border. They are wary of going to FEMA-sponsored shelters for fear of coming to the attention of Immigration officials, who also work for DHS.

Now here are some additional unusual issues:

The combination of heavy rain, “life-threatening” storm surges, flooding and strong winds could leave wide swaths of South Texas “uninhabitable for weeks or months,” the National Weather Service in Houston said. Such daunting language hasn’t been seen by CNN’s experts since Hurricane Katrina, which left more than 1,800 people dead in 2005.