Guest Post on Effects of H. Melissa in Jamaica

Observations/Comments on Hurricane Melissa (October 28, 2025) by Judy Kruger

Numerous storms have directly impacted Jamaica over the past 20 years, but none as strong as Hurricane Melissa. On the ground, operations are being managed by the Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management in Kingston, Jamaica (https://kingstonma.gov/189/Kingston-Emergency-Management-Agency-KEM), which instituted mandatory evacuation orders for several communities along the southern coast on October 27, 2025, before the storm made landfall. Hurricane Melissa, with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph, is one of the most powerful storms to hit Jamaica in the island’s recorded history.

Anticipating Hurricane Melissa becoming a large-scale hurricane, many agencies have pre-staged relief supplies in Jamaica. The Red Cross societies in Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic deployed volunteers, opened shelters, and carried out rescues and evacuations across the Caribbean Islands ahead of the storm’s arrival. According to the Jamaica Observer, 972 people were registered in shelters across the island (https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2025/10/27/eyeonmelissa-972-people-registered-shelters-across-jamaica-mckenzie/).

As the Category 5 storm makes landfall, regional efforts are gearing up from the U.N. International Organization for Migration (Barbados-based) to dispatch solar lamps, blankets, tents, and generators. Non-profits such as Operation Airdrop are coordinating private aircraft to deliver supplies as soon as conditions permit. The Red Cross has pre-positioned relief supplies to support directly impacted communities and families, and Operation Blessing (a Virginia Beach-based global response team) is staging nearby to distribute aid (water purifiers, hygiene kits, and other essentials) in Jamaica. Other nonprofits will follow to provide emergency food, water, medical supplies, and emotional support to those in crisis.

In July 2024, Hurricane Berly made landfall in the southern part of Jamaica as a Category 5 storm with winds of 140-160 mph. Reported damage occurred to telecommunications, infrastructure (roads), housing, and buildings, causing losses of about $200M (https://reliefweb.int/report/jamaica/hurricane-beryl-jamaica-situation-report-no1-9-july-2024). Access to clean water, sanitation, and electricity was a concern for many weeks following the storm, given long-standing flood waters that could lead to waterborne and vector-borne diseases. The other worry is for the coastal parts of the island, which experienced significant damage from Berly, and have not fully recovered. Storm surge over 13 feet high causes catastrophic destruction in low-lying coastal areas and widespread erosion. The powerful waves along the coastline have swept away many homes, businesses, agricultural land, and wildlife.

Shelter-in-place advisories are extended overnight, given that the US National Hurricane Center predicts an additional 6-12 inches of rain throughout the night, making it unsafe to travel through flood waters. It is a dangerous environment, given that many residents are without power due to downed trees and power lines. Even a fast-moving storm like Hurricane Melissa can take days, or even over a week, for 13 feet of storm surge to recede, making it difficult for the country to recover quickly in the coming weeks. Food aid, farming equipment parts, and other resources will be needed to support lost crops.

Although hurricane season in the Caribbean officially ends on November 30, storms are less frequent in late October. This late-season hurricane is highly unusual given its size; however, let’s not forget the impact Beryl made. As the eye of the storm path moves towards Cuba and the Bahamas, it could remain a major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale (https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/wmo-says-hurricane-melissa-will-be-jamaicas-worst-storm-this-century-2025-10-28/), making recovery a challenge for several island nations. The magnitude of this wind and rain event across several mountainous island nations could lead to life-threatening flash flooding, landslides, and damage to roads and bridges along the Southwestern coast.

Over time, as the magnitude of hurricane-strength storms reaching Category 4 or 5 strength is growing in the Caribbean (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-11/), community efforts are needed to connect residents and visitors with emergency services. As more agencies mobilize on the ground to support locally executed and managed recovery, the struggle is just beginning for the people of Jamaica and the wider Caribbean area. It will take time for regional disaster risk management organizations to help communities rebuild and fully recover in the wake of Hurricane Melissa.

Author: Judy Kruger, Ph.D.[jkruger@emory.edu; 404-386-3029]
Adjunct Associate Professor|Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University. 1518 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA, 30322 | CNR 7040Z

Effects of Waning Disaster Aid on State Budgets

New from the Pew Foundation: What Waning Federal Disaster Aid Would Mean for State BudgetsShifts in response and recovery responsibilities could pose fiscal challenges

“States play a critical and often overlooked role in paying for disaster costs, assisting communities and individuals and helping to cover cost shares required by federal relief programs. To cover these myriad costs, states draw from a range of funding sources, including dedicated disaster or emergency accounts, rainy day savings, and general fund revenue.

However, tapping these resources for an emergency can also mean directing funds away from other priorities, and policymakers increasingly face overlapping challenges related to paying for disasters. Not only are extreme weather events growing more frequent and expensive, but federal policymakers also are exploring ways to reduce the federal role in disasters and state budgets are tightening as pandemic-era surpluses disappear. Together, these shifts are prompting states to reconsider how they fund their efforts before, during, and after a disaster, collectively called “disaster assistance.”

New Rules and Delays re FEMA Grants put Response at Risk

From the AP: State emergency officials say new rules and delays for FEMA grants put disaster response at risk.

“State officials on the front lines of preparing for natural disasters and responding to emergencies say severe cuts to federal security grants, restrictions on money intended for readiness and funding delays tied to litigation are posing a growing risk to their ability to respond to crises.

It’s all causing confusion, frustration and concern. The federal government shutdown isn’t helping.

“Every day we remain in this grant purgatory reduces the time available to responsibly and effectively spend these critical funds,” said Kiele Amundson, communications director at the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency.”

The uncertainty has led some emergency management agencies to hold off on filling vacant positions and make rushed decisions on important training and purchases.

Experts say the developments complicate state-led emergency efforts, undermining the Republican administration’s stated goals of shifting more responsibility to states and local governments for disaster response.”

Disaster-Impacted Towns Forced to Fend for Themselves

From the NY Times: How FEMA Is Forcing Disaster-Struck Towns to Fend for Themselves. President Trump has said he wants to eventually shift the burden of disaster relief and recovery onto states. It’s already happening.

This could be the future for more communities across the country, based on Mr. Trump’s vision for emergency management in the United States: one that would transfer responsibility for disaster recovery from the federal government to the states in all but the largest catastrophes. For many places, it is already the reality.

FEMA has been delaying disaster declarations and aid payments to communities, adding new hurdles to access some grant funds and cutting off the flow of money intended to boost resilience and prevent future disasters from causing so much damage.”

Shifts in Emergency Management

From HSToday: The Shifting Emergency Management Balance

“Throughout this year, the very idea of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) as we have known it has come under debate. What was once a stable pillar in America’s disaster response architecture is now being reshaped. Proposals emerging from the Trump administration suggest shifting large portions of responsibility from the federal government to states, scaling back FEMA’s authority, and even “phasing it out” after hurricane season. The stakes are enormous for states, local governments, and the communities that depend on federal assistance when disaster strikes.”

Some Good News re Emergency Managers

From HSToday: PERSPECTIVE: Emergency Management Has Never Been More Indispensable

“Through it all, we have been reminded of who we are. Emergency managers are biased for action by nature, steady hands in chaos, problem-solvers under pressure, and trusted voices when everything else feels uncertain. We do not just respond to disasters; we help communities rebuild their lives and restore hope.

But that mission only works when we remember what emergency management is truly about. It is not forms or frameworks, it is people. It is about being the calm in the storm, ensuring that families can return home, that children can return to school, and that communities can return to something resembling normal. “

More Bad News from FEMA

From E&E News: FEMA Canceled $18 B in Disaster Payments.

https://www.eenews.net/articles/fema-canceled-11b-in-disaster-payments-to-states/

The unannounced move came after President Donald Trump threatened to reduce FEMA aid, jarring emergency management professionals.

The Trump administration canceled $11 billion in disaster payments to states in an unprecedented move that could signal a slowdown in the flow of federal funding after extreme weather events.

The unannounced move was revealed in a Sept. 15 government report showing that the Federal Emergency Management Agency withheld $10.9 billion it had planned to give 45 states in the final two months of the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30. The withheld money, which hasn’t been previously reported, was to reimburse the states for emergency costs related to the pandemic.

FEMA said it “shifted to fiscal year 2026” the planned reimbursements, the report noted in small print, marking the government’s only known acknowledgment that it had delayed the payments. The report does not indicate when the money would be paid, raising concern among emergency management groups about the effect the move could have on state budgets and whether it was a sign of President Donald Trump’s threat to reduce disaster aid to states.”