From the Homeland Security Digital Library, this article on How Urbanization is Affecting Natural Disaster Risk Assessment. It provides some background and the citation for a new report. Here is the lead paragraph:
The United Nations Population Fund predicts that by the year 2050 86% of the population in developed nations (64% in developing nations) will live in urban areas. This ongoing migration from rural areas to more densely inhabited cities catalyzes urban sprawl, which subsequently makes a greater portion of the population susceptible to the risks of natural disasters.
Sadly, this sounds like a case of Shooting the Messengers Who Bring Bad News.
From the NY times, Australia to Lay Off Leading Scientist on Sea Levels
A pre-eminent scientist in the field of rising global sea levels has been given notice of his dismissal as part of deep cuts at Australia’s national science agency that will reduce the country’s role in global climate research.
The scientist, John Church, confirmed Tuesday that he was one of 275 scientists that the agency, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, or Csiro, said would be laid off.
He said he had been informed that Csiro was “consolidating” the team studying the effects of sea level change and “ceasing work” on rising sea levels.
Crisis Management – Guidance and Good Practice (PAS 200) – this is a 48 page document that may be of interest to readers.
Thanks to Dr. Younhee Kim, in Seoul Korea, for this citation.
2015: 28 million people forcibly displaced by conflict, 19 million displaced by disaster
Conflict and violence internally displaced 27.8 million people in 2015. The number of people internally displaced by disasters in 2015 was 19.2 million in 113 countries. Additionally, at least a million people were forcibly displaced by criminal violence in Mexico and Central America, and tens of millions more by development projects such as dams and urban renewal projects.
Climate-driven water scarcity could reduce economic growth by up to 6%: World Bank
Water scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, could cost some regions up to 6 percent of their GDP, spur migration, and spark conflict, according to a new World Bank report released the other day. The report says the combined effects of growing populations, rising incomes, and expanding cities will see demand for water rising exponentially, while supply becomes more erratic and uncertain.