Update on Personal Preparedness for the Women’s March in D.C. (Jan. 21)

As of Jan 20,

When the Diva heard about the Women’s March on Washington, she put together a list of what to wear and carry for a potentially cold day in the outdoors. With the help of some friends, also in the emergency preparedness business, she created a one-page list for a Go Bag  The link to it is here: GoBag

UPDATE: WHAT TO BRING TO THE MARCH – info from the sponsors on Jan. 13th

All backpacks and bags may be subject to search at the March, and those not conforming to the standards set here may be confiscated or asked to be left behind. Backpacks are not permitted unless they are clear and no larger than 17″x12″x6″ (colored transparent bags are not permitted).

  • Bags/totes/purses for small personal items should be no larger than 8”x6”x4”.
  • Specifically for people who would like to bring meals, each marcher is permitted one additional 12”x12”x6” plastic or gallon bag.
  • For marchers who have medical needs or for mothers who need baby bags or breast pumps, please ensure that your supplies fit into the above clear backpack. You can have one backpack per individual in your group, as long as they abide by the above guidelines.
  • If you are a member of the press, covering the event officially, and have equipment that will not fit into bags of the above dimensions: please contact the National Communications Team to get press credentials in advance in order for your equipment to be allowed into the rally site.
  • Do not bring anything that can be construed as a weapon, including signage with any kind of handle (e.g. a sharpened wooden stick). We recommend also checking with your bus company if your bus will be secured during the march and if you can leave larger belongings in the bus, rather than carrying them all day.
  • As of Jan. 18th, I see that whistles and umbrellas will not be allowed.
  • As of Jan. 20th, I see advice to bring cash (faster purchases) and bring an I.D. card.
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More Frequent Large-Scale Tornadoes Expected

Recent postings have dealt with the likelihood of more frequent floods and now we have this citation of research on tornadoes.  It does seem that EM is a a field of endeavor likely to grow.

From HSNewswire, Tornadoes:More frequent large-scale tornado outbreaks.

The frequency of large-scale tornado outbreaks is increasing in the United States, particularly when it comes to the most extreme events, according to new research. The researchers found that the increase in tornado outbreaks does not appear to be the result of a warming climate as earlier models suggested. Instead, their findings tie the growth in frequency to trends in the vertical wind shear found in certain supercells—a change not so far associated with a warmer climate.

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“Developer Socialism”

This is another take on a topic covered in some earlier postings, but it is worth considering again.  See: Subsidized insurance is developer socialism

Government has become the insurer of last resort precisely because – unlike politicians – free market insurers are not in denial about climate change. Allstate once insured more than a million homes in Florida. It now covers about 400,000, and reportedly plans to reduce that to 100,000.

Private insurers see little profit in paying out damages to rebuild oceanfront properties that are almost certain to be ravaged anew.

“With the federal government taking on such an enormous share of the financial burden and nearly all recovery responsibility, there is little incentive for disaster-prone states to take action to reduce risk,” The SmarterSafer coalition, whose members include some of the world’s largest insurance companies, stated in 2015.

This notion that the feds will keep picking up the tab for damages in disaster-prone areas that should not have been developed in the first place, prompted FEMA Director (and former Florida emergency disaster czar) Craig Fugate to go off on a remarkably candid rant in a recent interview with Blomberg News.

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Slow Onset Climate Disasters Under Consideration

News article from Newtok, Alaska: Can the U.S. deal with slow-motion climate disasters?

The village of Newtok has requested a federal disaster declaration from President Barack Obama to address ongoing erosion and thawing permafrost. It’s one of the first tests of whether the nation’s disaster relief laws can be used to deal with the slow-moving impacts of climate change.


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Contribution of the Elderly to Community Resilience

New article (8 pp.) from Dan Aldrich: Creating Community Resilience Through Elder-Led Physical and Social Infrastructure.

Natural disasters and rapidly aging populations are chronic problems for societies worldwide. We investigated the effects of an intervention in Japan known as Ibasho, which embeds elderly residents in vulnerable areas within larger social networks and encourages them to participate in leadership activities. This project sought to deepen the connections of these elderly residents to society and to build elderly leadership and community capacity for future crises.

Methods: We carried out surveys of participants and nonparticipant residents across the city of Ofunato in Tohoku, Japan, 1 year after the intervention began. Our surveys included questions assessing participation levels in Ibasho, demographic characteristics, efficacy, social networks, and a sense of belonging.

Results: Regression analysis and propensity score matching of more than 1100 respondents showed that regular participation in the Ibasho project had a statistically significant and positive connection with various measures of social capital.

Conclusions: Given its relatively low cost and focus on deepening cohesion, we suggest that this community-based project could be replicated and scaled up in other countries to deepen resilience, elder health, and social capital. Moving away from an emphasis on investing in physical infrastructure, we believe that disaster risk reduction strategies should center on social infrastructure

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Cost of Weather Disasters in 2016

Here are two articles re a new report from NOAA:

Climate-based disasters caused $46 billion in damage and killed at least 138 in the 48 contiguous U.S. states last year, with inland flooding emerging as the costliest weather event for the first time since 1997. The number of billion-dollar occurrences was the second-highest since 1980,  with one less than the 16 in 2011, according to the National Centers for Environmental Information. It was also the second warmest year behind 2012 over 122 years, and the 20th consecutive warmer-than-normal year.

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Scientific Reports on Sea Level Rise

At least one regular reader takes issue with this matter, but the Diva finds the scientific evidence compelling.

Coastal resilience:Accelerating sea level rise requires collaborative response

Recent estimates suggest that global mean sea level rise could exceed two meters by 2100. The projections pose a challenge for scientists and policymakers alike, requiring far-reaching decisions about coastal policies to be made based on rapidly evolving projections with large, persistent uncertainties. Policymakers and scientists must thus act quickly and collaboratively to help coastal areas better prepare for rising sea levels globally, say climate change experts.


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