Should There Be Global Disaster Insurance?

See this article in the NYT by Jeffrey Sacks: Insuring for Disasters.  Some excerpts:

Insurance would reveal how vulnerable certain parts of the world are to rising costs of disasters, including those associated with global warming. But at least we’d be able to begin to account for this. It would provide a powerful way to drive mitigation and adaptation investments, a point emphasized in recent years by Rowan Douglas of the insurer Willis Group.

A global system of disaster insurance would of course not be perfect and would take time to implement, but could save many lives and livelihoods in the years ahead, and help vulnerable low-income countries like Haiti and Nepal chart a path to sustainable development.

Elected Officials Need Education re Disasters

In light of the events in Baltimore recently, particularly the criticism of the new mayor, I thought it was worth calling attention to the article that was posted more than a year ago. The advice is still sound.

For those readers who work for local and state government, you might want to try to encourage some efforts to get elected officials informed about emergencies and disasters.

New Technology for Mapping Earthquakes

From Wired magazine, see this article titled New Technology for Mapping Earthquakes. Some excepts:

The Nepal earthquake on Saturday devastated the region and killed over 2,500 people, with more casualties mounting across four different countries. The first 24 hours of a disaster are the most important, and first-responders scramble to get as much information about the energy and geological effects of earthquakes as they can. Seismometers can help illustrate the location and magnitude of earthquakes around the world, but for more precise detail, you need to look at three-dimensional models of the ground’s physical displacement.

The easiest way to characterize that moving and shaking is with GPS and satellite data, together called geodetic data. That information is already used by earthquake researchers and geologists around the world to study the earth’s tectonic plate movements—long-term trends that establish themselves over years. But now, researchers at the University of Iowa and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) have shown a faster way to use geodetic data to assess fault lines, turning over reports in as little as a day to help guide rapid responses to catastrophic quakes.

Thanks to Ian McLean for the citation.

Here is another article about the same topic. See: Satellite images reveal Mount Everest lost one inch of its height in the Nepal earthquake, but Kathmandu has been lifted by more than three feet

  • The satellite, Sentinel-1a, sends out radio waves and times how long it takes for them to reflect back
  • The data has been transformed into an ‘interferogram’ showing how the land mass has shifted
  • Scientists count the colored ‘fringes’ in the interferogram to detect how much the land has moved
  • Everest lost an inch of its height in the quake, but still stands at 29,029 feet
    An area 75 miles by 30 miles around Kathmandu has risen over three feet

NIST Community Resilience Guide

A revised version of the NIST Community Resilience Planning Guide was just released this week for public comment. Note that this guide consists of two volumes, the first of which is 92 pages and the second one is 260 pp.

It is great that so much material is available free to the public, but it getting so that in order to keep up with the resilience materials one needs to own a print shop!

Thanks to Jay Wilson for the citation. The sarcasm is mine.

 

Economic Impact of Nepal Earthquakes

From the WSJ this article: Nepal Earthquake’s Economic Toll Expected to Be Massive. Foreign aid could have outsize impact on poor South Asian nation. [Note: If you have trouble getting the whole text, try using Google.] An excerpt:

“It’s not only money that you need for reconstruction, but also human knowledge and a functioning government ….”  “Nepal belongs to a category of countries where it is unclear whether the ability to execute reconstruction will be sufficient.”

Use of Social Media After the Nepal Disaster

Google and Facebook Help Nepal Earthquake Survivors and Contacts Connect.

As the extent of the damage from the earthquake in Nepal became clear, technology companies started devising ways to help users in affected areas connect with friends and loved ones around the world, and vice versa.

Google’s Person Finder was tracking about 6,100 records as of 2:30 p.m. Monday, Eastern time. Here is how it works: Anyone can enter a person’s name, biographical information and photograph into Google’s database. You can specify whether you are that person, are seeking information about that person or have reason to believe that person is either alive or missing. Google does not review or verify any of the data.

Some News from Down Under re Earthquake Planning

Blog reader John Coleman in NZ wrote:

“I am currently working on emergency plans for the health system of the West Coast of the South Island. My personal thinking was that the entire population could be cut odd from all land access for many months and it is heartening to see tht his study suggests that there may be one road which could remain open. It follows the Buller Gorge and is the really long way around. URL for more info.

In addition we have recently had a series of presentations from the researchers at GNS and several universities. * * * The full package is about 14MB, so those who want the full details of the  video presentations please contact John directly at the location noted below.

We also have video recordings of the talks:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfj8MIAxec4 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbPowv4yqzU&feature=youtu.be 
In 2013, Dr Robinson developed a scenario for a South Island Civil Defence exercise based on a major earthquake on the South Island fault and we have found the casualty estimates informative.

While all of this focusses on the South Island fault, the way things are looking in Christchurch, that big fault sould rupture before we have fully recovered from out local ones. I note that the temporary container mall in Christchurch could now be around a lot longer.  We do have a fondness for temporary things.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/small-business/67962367/restart-mall-in-christchurch-may-stay-another-10-years

The shaking intensity may be similar, but the duration could be several times longer. No-one has tried to predict the effects of that yet.

For more information about John’s organization, go to this web site: http://www.cdhb.health.nz