How not to do seismic safety

Bird's eye View of Old Delhi.

Image by ~FreeBirD®~ via Flickr

An AP news article provides details about an ominous threat: Delhi ignores own quake peril warnings; January 25, 2012, Here is the lead in:

The ramshackle neighborhoods of northeast Delhi are home to 2.2 million people packed along narrow alleys. Buildings are made from a single layer of brick. Extra floors are added to dilapidated buildings not meant to handle their weight. Tangles of electrical cables hang precariously everywhere.

If a major earthquake were to strike India’s seismically vulnerable capital, these neighborhoods – India’s most crowded – would collapse into an apocalyptic nightmare. Waters from the nearby Yamuna River would turn the water-soaked subsoil to jelly, which would intensify the shaking.

The Indian government knows this and has done almost nothing about it.

About blogging

In the New York Times on Jan. 22, there was an article titled Blogs vs. Term Papers. I would be interested in reader feedback on this topic.

Just to remove the suspense, this author believes in term papers, journal articles, and books. In my view, blogs are on the lowest rung of literate writing!

Good comments. Keep them coming.

Global Risk Report for 2012 and Global Think Tank List

The Global Risks Report 2012

Image by World Economic Forum via Flickr

Once again I am straying from the main theme of this blog, but I do want to share an unusual report that provides some very compelling information and context for those of us interested in emergency management and homeland security.

From the World Economic Forum, the report on Global Risks 2012.  I think this is an amazing piece of work from some significant players in the risk world; the 64 page report was issued Jan. 2012.  I think you will share my perception that risk and emergency managers will be busy for the foreseeable!

Note that this research product was done by corporate and university sponsors.

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Another major report came out this week, this one as assessment of Think Tank List  The full text is included here.

Updates on 2011 — the Costliest Year for Disasters in U.S. and Worldwide

As reported in the Washington Post on Jan, 4, 2012, 2011 topped the record for the costliest year for disasters worldwide. See: Reinsurer says earthquakes in Japan, New Zealand make 2011 industry’s costliest yet. The article noted:

The devastating earthquakes in Japan and New Zealand made 2011 the costliest year yet for the insurance industry in terms of natural disaster losses, a leading reinsurance company said Wednesday.

Munich Re AG said in an annual report that insured losses last year totaled $105 billion — exceeding the previous record of $101 billion set in 2005, when losses were swollen by claims from Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans.

The company said the total economic cost last year from natural disasters — including uninsured losses — totaled about $380 billion. That was far above the 2005 record of $220 billion.

Japan’s earthquake and tsunami in March caused overall losses of $210 billion and insured losses of between $35 billion and $40 billion, Munich Re said. That didn’t include the consequences of the subsequent meltdowns at

For a related article, see this one from Nature.com, which discusses some of the factors behind the high cost of the disasters.

NEW: On Jan. 18, the New York Times reported that NOAA has just providing additional data to show that there were in fact 14  U.S. disasters that cost $1. B or more in 2011.

Eight states received a total of $400. million for disaster assistance in 2011, according to CNN on Jan. 21, 2012.

New FEMA Report on Seven Years of Experience with ESF#14: Long-Term Community Recovery

Federal Emergency Management Agency

Image via Wikipedia

FEMA has a knack for issuing reports and not bothering to tell anyone.  I am not sure of the release date but there is a new report available. Here is the direct link to the 76 page report, Lessons in Community Recovery; Seven Years of Emergency Support Function #14, Long Term Recovery from 2004-2011. The report is dated December 2011.

The report is somewhat interesting and informative.  In my view there is too much emphasis on process and not enough on outcome, results, problems. Some years ago, the famous Gilbert White ( Director of the Hazards Center at the Univ. of CO/Boulder) said “Don’t tell me what you did, tell me what you accomplished.”  That remains good advice for all of us.

Four Updates on Aftermath of the BP Oil Spill

English: Deepwater Horizon oil spill at Chande...

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(1) A Review of the year in photos  — some of the results are good, some are bad.  See these pictures provided by the Christian Science Monitor, Jan. 4, 2012.

(2) Some scientific results re bacteria that ate the oil:  Spill Study Explains How Bacteria Cleansed Gulf; Wall St. Journal, Jan. 9, 2012.

(3) From the LicartaRisk co. a report on what BP did wrong re risk management. Jan. 10, 2012

(4) In a NY Times opinion piece, writer Joe Nocera has some kind words for BP and thinks it has been a “responsible party.”

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New Organizational Approach to Recovery – CERA in NZ

English: The Pyne Gould Building following the...

Image via Wikipedia

The Christchurch/Canterbury region has formed a new organization to lead its recovery efforts, namely the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority.  Here are some details from the NZ press: Cera could emerge as star of Canty recovery . Some excerpts follow:

A Canterbury fixture for a few more years, Cera will be either the star of recovery or the target of an embittered public…It started with a handful of government department phone-ins and Civil Defence hangers-on, in a shabby office smelling of fresh paint, hammering out a plan to rebuild Christchurch. Now they are everywhere. They hold meetings with grumpy, earthquake-stricken residents and offer bus tours of devastated central Christchurch. They buy thousands of homes, order the demolition of 20-storeyed buildings and politely tell the public where they can and cannot go.

It easy to forget that the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority (Cera) has existed for less than a year. Since the state of emergency was lifted after the February 22 quake, the authority has assumed the central role in Christchurch’s recovery.

The Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Act, passed in April, has given Cera and Earthquake Recovery Minister Gerry Brownlee unprecedented power. They can change laws, bypass courts, seize property and take over almost any responsibility normally left to local councils.

For those who want more information, here is the direct URL for CERA.

The closest analogy to this type of organization that I can think of in the U.S. is the use of an urban renewal authority, with eminent domain powers, to lead the recovery planning process.  I would like to hear from folks in the U.S. how this approach would be greeted in their localities.

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