Severe Weather, Global Warming, and Likely Heath Impacts

After noting the extreme weather in 2011, some authorities are preparing for the widespread impact of global warming. In this article from the HuffPost, the emphasis is on the health impacts expected. Titled Weather Extremes Hint At Public Health Impacts Of Climate Change , the article features a new tool called the Extreme Weather Map; Dec.9, 2011. The map is maintained by the Natural Resources Defense Council. According to the lead researcher on the map project:

“We have to really understand the local context of these extreme events and how they impact our communities by looking at them in what we call a spatially specific way, or in a way that really gets down to the geography of risk …by addressing those particular aspects of our communities, our cities and our populations that make people more susceptible to the negative health consequences of climate change.”

Rising temperatures are expected to have an impact on all aspects of the public health infrastructure — from air and water quality to food safety, Luber noted. A warmer atmosphere, for example, retains more water, increasing the likelihood of historically heavy rains, which can subsequently overwhelm treatment facilities and spread disease. Rising temperatures can also exacerbate smog, causing increased instances of respiratory illness, or alter the ecology of insect-borne diseases like Lyme, West Nile virus and others.

Disaster Count for 2011 – a record

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administratio...

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Earlier this year I said I had a feeling this was going to be a busy year for emergency managers. I was not wrong and here are some current numbers to prove my hunch:

U.S. 2011 billion-dollar disasters.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has recalculated the number of weather disasters in the United States which passed the billion dollar mark; NOAA added two disasters, pushing the 2011 tally to twelve billion-dollars-or-more disasters; these disasters caused more than 1,000 deaths and inflicted damaged estimated at $52 billion.  Additionally, FEMA’s disaster declaration total is 98, as of December 7, 2011.

Some additional details of the 12 costly events are available on the website Weather.com, which is the weather channel on TV.

On December 10, I found two more feature articles on this topic: (1)  article in CNN news online and (2) an article in Scientific American.

Continue reading

Some Earthquake Science re the Japan Earthquake

Thanks to the Internet, I can find all sorts of interesting articles about disasters.  This one deals with the physics of disasters, which for the most part is not something this social scientist understands very fully.  But I was intrigued with some of the details of the article. Source is phsicstoday.org; December 2011.  Insights from the great 2011 Japan earthquake.

One quote from the Lessons Learned section of the article:

The Tohoku-oki event confirmed the value of applying modern technologies to earthquake and tsunami mitigation efforts. Strain-accumulation measurements, offshore fault-zone observations, and early earthquake and tsunami warning systems all played a role in saving lives, as terrible as the event was. Extreme events can and do happen, and resources may be too limited to fully protect ourselves. Our best prospect for coping with those events’ effects, however, is to draw on our technologies, preparations, and ability to respond when Earth delivers the unexpected, as it did on 11 March 2011.

Predictably, scientists always wish they knew more and always are in hopes of finding more research money!

Update on Recovery in Christchurch, N.Z.

According to a news report, the city of Christchurch has adopted the Stronger Christchurch Infrastructure Rebuild Plan; December 1, 2011.  For updated versions of the Infrastructure Strategy, go to this website.  For more information about the recovery process, check out this additional site.

See also this article about Christchurch being one of the 9 Cities to Watch in the Future. Dec. 2, 2011.

Private Sector Contributions to Recovery

A typical Lowe's storefront in Santa Clara, Ca...

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What Big-Box Retailers Can Teach Government About Disaster Recovery ; from Govtech.com, November 28.  There’s not a lot of new information in here, but the article does serve as a good reminder that some of the major national corporations are well organized and practiced when it comes to working with the public sector to assist with response and recovery functions.  If you do have some of these well-prepared private enterprises in your community, start early to work on public/private partnerships, including agreements regarding assets and even the ability to borrow executives, if needed locally.

With hundreds of locations nationally and globally, big-box companies like Lowe’s and Target have become masters of disaster recovery and business continuity. With their geographic vastness, these companies must be ready for natural and man-made disasters and have an action plan for everything from rebuilding a store to supporting affected employees.

These companies excel at disaster recovery because they’ve endured it before. They’ve learned lessons along the way (think Hurricane Katrina) and adapted plans. While there are many distinctions between public and private sectors, they’re more alike than different when it comes to business continuity and disaster recovery.

More Natural Disasters Expected – emergency managers should take note

Cover of "Climate Change: The Ipcc Respon...

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Report: Climate change means more frequent droughts, floods to come is the title of an article that appeared in the Wash. Post on 11/18.

Climate change will make the drought and flooding events that have battered the United States and other countries in 2011 more frequent in years to come, forcing nations to rethink the way they cope with disasters. according to a new report the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issued Friday.

The report — the culmination of a two-year process involving 100 scientists and policy experts — suggests that researchers are far more confident about the prospect of more intense heat waves and heavy downpours than they are about how global warming is affecting hurricanes and tornadoes. But the new analysis also speaks to a broader trend: The world is facing a new reality of more extreme weather, and policymakers and business alike are beginning to adjust.

For those of you who are educators or students of emergency management, it would appear that this will be a growing field in the future.

One more take on a related subject, future climate change and the prospect of future dust bowl disasters; added on 11.22.

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