According to the Wash Post today, Seven weeks after Hurricane Maria, Puerto Ricans still can’t access programs that fed millions in Texas and Florida. Funding system was designed to cut costs.
It cannot be just me who thinks cutting costs on food for victims of a major disaster is a disgraceful action. It is truly baffling that the previous two disasters, in TX and FL, were treated differently.
Be sure to read comments from readers on this posting.
The Diva wants to thank Terry Hastings for providing this article, which provides an in-depth look at the issue under discussion. See: The Ongoing Quest to Assess & Measure Preparedness.
Terry Hastings is the senior policy advisor for the New York Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services.
From the WSJ: Two Months After Harvey, Houston Continues to Count the Cost
Tens of thousands are still living in hotel rooms from the August hurricane, which is estimated to have cost $73.5 billion in economic loss.
Note that the chart in the article shows total estimated costs for the recent hurricanes with H. Maria and H. Irma numbers lower than for H. Harvey.
Last week I posted the question To what extent does FEMA assess the capabilities of all of the states and territories prior to a disaster? And how adequate are their assessments?
A few days later I got this useful explanation from Joel Palmer, Acting Branch Chief
Preparedness and Analysis Branch, National Preparedness Division
FEMA Region IX. It is as follows:
You raised the question of what FEMA does to assess the capabilities of jurisdictions, and the main thing on the preparedness side is the THIRA and SPR (threat and hazard identification and risk assessment, state preparedness report). These are linked assessments with the THIRA serving as a risk and resource requirement assessment and the SPR serving as a capability assessment. THIRA has been a requirement for grantees under either EMPG or HSGP (including SHSGP, UASI, and THSGP) for the last five years and SPR has been a requirement on states and territories since PKEMRA. In their current forms the two assessments link and provide a good self-assessment of jurisdictional capability, with the caveat that the data is more complete for states and territories than for tribes and urban areas as the SPR requirement only covers the former.
The THIRA is a four step process, outlined in CPG-201, that has jurisdictions 1) identify their threats and hazards of concern; 2) provide details and context for the most significant threats and hazards; 3) develop Core Capability targets based on the impacts of those threats and hazards and the jurisdictionally-identified desired outcomes for each Core Capability; and 4) estimate some of the resources required to meet the targets. The next piece, the SPR, has jurisdictions rate themselves on a scale of 1-5 for each of their targets, assessing where they may have gaps across the capability elements of planning, organization, equipment, training, and exercises. There are additional contextual questions and details, but that’s the broad overview. (NOTE – details of both assessments and the contextual pieces can be found at https://www.fema.gov/national-preparedness-system.
The regions and FEMA HQ use the assessments in a number of different ways. The most publicly visible is the annual National Preparedness Report, which looks across the nation at the 32 Core Capabilities, identified areas of progress, areas for focus, and other trends and key information. That report is submitted to the White House in the spring of each year as required in Presidential Policy directive 8 – National Preparedness. Another primary way HQ uses the data is to build pre-event assessments by looking at specific hazards (e.g. – a Caribbean hurricane) through the jurisdictional lens by seeing which events they included in their assessments would be applicable, what the primary Core Capabilities of interest for that hazard are, and what details the jurisdiction included in their assessment. That report can then be used to help decision-makers anticipate the requests for assistance that are more likely to come from the jurisdiction. A final way we’ve used the assessments at the regional level is to compare the jurisdictional hazards and assessments to regional planning and identify any differences that might exist. For example – many of the joint region-jurisdiction plans use scenarios that are larger and more catastrophic than the jurisdictional THIRA does. This is reasonable, since the THIRA is supposed to assess the jurisdictional capability and capacity and a catastrophic event that results in the jurisdiction needing extensive outside assistance wouldn’t be a good way to judge internal resources.
As I said, these are self-assessments and that’s a concern that has been identified by Congress and is being addressed by HQ. In coordination with the regions and jurisdictions a large portion of 2017 was spent reviewing potential changes to the methodology, testing out proposals with the jurisdictions, and getting feedback. All of this was done with the goal of moving towards a more objective assessment but without generating a massive additional workload on jurisdictions. One good aspect of the current assessments is that the methodology has been stable long enough that we’re able to see some trends emerging, which can be used at all levels to identify where investments have supported increased capability and where further focus might be needed.
Unfortunately, as the current disasters have illustrated, no assessment is perfect. My hope is that the updates to the processes that we’ve already been discussing, informed by the after action analysis from the 2017 hurricane season and other recent events will help us improve the assessments both in terms of what the jurisdictions are asked to provide and what we do with the data once collected, including continuing efforts to align efforts across program lines (e.g. – including mitigation hazard analysis data when assessing jurisdictional and national preparedness).
Thanks again for the asking the question, and I hope this explanation of the existing processes can help inform the conversation on what we should be doing and could be doing better.
Joel Palmer
Acting Branch Chief
Preparedness and Analysis Branch
National Preparedness Division
FEMA Region IX
Phone: 510-627-7193
Cell: 510-333-1349
joel.palmer@fema.dhs.gov
US report finds climate change 90% manmade, contradicting Trump officials. Major report by government agencies goes against senior members of Trump administration and finds evidence of global warming stronger than ever. A copy of the Executive Summary can be found here.
From Bloomberg News, this commentary: How the Trump White House Wound Up Releasing Dire Climate Report
Reminder that the Diva maintains another blog site called DisastersandFaith. Info about building safety and how to deal to an active shooter are on that site.
From the NYTimes: A Broke, and Broken, Flood Insurance Program. Now, an unusual coalition of insurers, environmentalists and fiscal conservatives is seeking major changes in the federal plan as a deadline approaches.
In response to the many comments on the last posting, the Diva would like to know
To what extent does FEMA assess the capabilities of all of the states and territories prior to a disaster? And how adequate are their assessments?
Generally, I am interested in the extent to which a problematic response can be anticipated. Specifically, I wonder if FEMA staff knew what the weaknesses were in Puerto Rico re Commonwealth and local emergency management capability before hurricane season started?
From the NYTimes: U.S. Response to Storm-Hit Puerto Rico Is Criticized by U.N. Experts.
Well this is embarrassing. The U.S. used to be considered a model for national emergency management….
From the Tampa Bay newspaper: Nelson, Rubio press FEMA to improve hurricane response. Some people waiting hours just to talk with someone at FEMA.
In defense of FEMA, the Diva knows that the agency is in the process of hiring and training 2,000 new workers. I guess that cannot happen soon enough for the FL victims of H. Irma.
Recovery Diva 