Resilience and Political Leadership

English: New York Mayor, Michael R. Bloomberg.

One of the aspects of resilience that intrigues me is where the public sector leadership is likely to come from. In the immediate aftermath of H. Sandy, we have seen some encouraging statements and actions from Governors Cuomo and Christie and from Mayor Bloomberg.  Obviously the superstorm provided a driving force, but other conditions must be in place for political action to occur.  Here is an interesting take on Mayor Bloomberg’s possible motives:

Mayor Bloomberg focuses on Hurricane Sandy and gun control before singing his swan song; After donating millions in relief the NYC Mayor wants to see results before he gets nostaligic. (NY Daily News, Dec. 31, 2012.)

* * *   Bloomberg spent nearly a week working to prepare the city for the superstorm. He directed the recovery, outlined an ambitious plan to protect the city from future hurricanes and took a lead role in lobbying Congress for help.

In his efforts on both Sandy and guns, Bloomberg’s vast wealth has given him more leverage in Congress.

He has donated millions of dollars to candidates and causes. This year alone, he set up a super political action committee and seeded it with more than $10 million to help elect moderates to Congress.

Making personal calls to lawmakers “is not something he does publicly, but it probably is one of the most important things that he can do because he is such a prominent figure as well as contributor in Washington,” said Kathryn Wylde of the Partnership for New York City, a business group.

Stu Loeser, Bloomberg’s former press secretary, said the fact that Bloomberg doesn’t have to worry about his reelection allows him to “swing for the fences.”

“He’s not looking for another job and he’s not going to run for any other office,” Loeser said. “So it allows him to . . . do things that you wouldn’t be able to do if you were being cautious or worried about offending someone or some group in the future.”

Too bad that those qualifications and conditions are so hard to replicate!  But the takeaway point here  point is that  elected officials at high levels can, if they so decide, be effective “champions” of resilience actions.  In my view they do not have to deal with the constraints that career public employees have – like restrictive authorizing legislation and program regulations.

Thinking Ahead – dual use buildings

Here is a sensible idea: build or rebuild a structure to serve as a shelter in future disasters. In this case gyms will be available for sheltering vulnerable residents. “FEMA building multiuse storm shelters along Texas coast,” Dec. 30, 2012.

 Most of the time, the windowless building with the dome-shaped roof will be a  typical high school gymnasium filled with cheering fans watching basketball and volleyball games.But come hurricane season, the structure that resembles a miniature version of the famed Astrodome will double as a hurricane shelter, part of an ambitious storm-defense system that is taking shape along hundreds of miles of the Texas Gulf Coast.

FEMA is paying for 75 percent of the dome structures, with local communities picking up the remaining cost. The funding is part of the agency’s initiative to help homeowners and communities build hardened shelters that provide protection from extreme weather.

Nationwide, more than $683 million has been awarded in 18 states, including Texas, Alabama, Michigan and South Carolina.

Changing the Calculation for Utilities – pre and post disaster

In order to achieve more resilience after future disasters, all aspects of the cost-benefit calculations that are made about taking pre-event mitigative steps vs. just paying for repair and restoration post-disaster will have to re reassessed. This example about utilities illustrations the fundamental issue.

Hurricane Sandy Alters Utilities’ Calculus on Upgrades; NYT. December 29. Some excerpts follow:

After Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc with power systems in the Northeast, many consumers and public officials complained that the electric utilities had done far too little to protect their equipment from violent storms, which forecasters have warned could strike with increasing frequency.

But from a utility’s perspective, the cold hard math is this: it is typically far cheaper for the company, and its customers, to skip the prevention measures and just clean up the mess afterward.

Utilities and policy makers can see that ocean surge poses a previously unexpected threat to the power grid. And there is growing recognition that the true cost of disruptions, in terms of gasoline lines, lost workdays and business sales, and shivering homeowners, is far higher than the simple dollars and cents spent to protect the power system. A recent report from the National Academy of Sciences about the vast 2003 blackout in the Eastern United States determined that the economic cost of that disruption was about 50 times higher than the price of the actual electricity lost, and that didn’t take into account deaths or other human consequences.

“We need to think now of not just restoring the grid, but how to make it more survivable,” said Philip B. Jones, president of the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners, a trade association of state officials. “I think most commissioners are coming around to that.”

Disaster Relief After H. Sandy Slowed by Fiscal Cliff Politics

Fiscal cliff discussions get in way of post-Sandy relief measure; December 27, 2012; HSWire.

The post-Sandy rebuilding effort in the northeast has been stalled by the debate going on in Congress about a solution to the national debt. The post-Sandy rebuilding effort in the northeast has been stalled by the debate going on in Congress about a solution to the national debt..Hispanic Business reports that Lawmakers from New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and several other states are still waiting for support for a measure which would allow   speeding up of clean-up efforts  construction,  but with the  focus on the fiscal cliff, the $60 billion White House Sandy relief request  has taken a back seat.

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Haiti – still waiting for recovery

Rebuilding in Haiti Lags After Billions in Post-Quake Aid;” NY Times, Dec. 23.

When you look at things, you say, ‘Hell, almost three years later, where is the reconstruction?’ ” said Michèle Pierre-Louis, a former prime minister of Haiti. “If you ask what went right and what went wrong, the answer is, most everything went wrong. There needs to be some accountability for all that money.”

An analysis of all that money — at least $7.5 billion disbursed so far — helps explain why such a seeming bounty is not more palpable here in the eviscerated capital city, where the world’s chief accomplishment is to have finally cleared away most of the  rubble.

More than half of the money has gone to relief aid, which saves lives and alleviates misery but carries high costs and leaves no permanent footprint — tents shred; emergency food and water gets consumed; short-term jobs expire; transitional shelters, clinics and schools are not built to last.

Of the rest, only a portion went to earthquake reconstruction strictly defined. Instead, much of the so-called recovery aid was devoted to costly current programs, like highway building and H.I.V. prevention, and to new projects far outside the disaster zone, like an industrial park in the north and a teaching hospital in the central plateau.

Meanwhile, just a sliver of the total disbursement — $215 million — has been allocated to the most obvious and pressing need: safe, permanent housing. By comparison, an estimated minimum of $1.2 billion has been eaten up by short-term solutions — the tent camps, temporary shelters and cash grants that pay a year’s rent. “Housing is difficult and messy, and donors have shied away from it….”

“Can Do” New Yorkers Craft a Mobile Feeding Program after H. Sandy

Food Truck

Here is an upbeat article from the Huff Post, December 23 : How New York City Food Trucks Helped Heal Hurricane Sandy Victims . A few excerpts follow:

Connecting the real-time knowledge of City Agencies and FEMA working on the ground, the Mayor’s Fund ultimately funded over 275,000 free hot meals to New Yorkers in the neighborhoods hardest hit by Hurricane Sandy. As many as 32 trucks were dispatched on any given day, serving over 500 meals apiece. Additional food distribution efforts to date, including Thanksgiving meals, exceed 330,000.The impact for families was significant and immediate, as we heard in daily reports and tweets and instagrams and blog posts from the trucks on the ground.”The smile on people’s faces when they get warm food and coffee is priceless,” one said in a Nov 8 report.

State Agency Preparedness Ratings re Public Health and Disasters

The Trust for America’s Health has released its 10th annual report about public health preparedness. The goal of this 80 page report is to inform policymakers and the public about how ready our nation is for the next public health emergency. The report accomplishes this by examining preparedness measures on a state level.

Key findings from the report include:

  • Some key findings from the report include: 29 states cut public health funding from fiscal years (FY) 2010-11 to 2011-12, with 23 of these states cutting funds for a second year in a row and 14 for three consecutive years;
  • Only two states have met the national goal of vaccinating 90 percent of young children, ages 19-36 months, against whooping cough;
  • 35 states and Washington, D.C. do not currently have complete climate change adaptation plans, which include planning for health threats posed by extreme weather events;
  • 20 states do not mandate all licensed child care facilities to have a multi-hazard written evacuation plan; and
  • 13 state public health laboratories report they do not have sufficient capacity to work five, 12-hour days for six to eight weeks in response to an infectious disease outbreak.

In addition to these findings, the report also has several recommendations designed to address gaps in emergency health preparedness.

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Building Resilience Measures into Appropriations

Related to the last posting, here’s a new tack: including requirements for far-reaching implications of the reconstruction efforts post-Sandy into the Congressional appropriations for recovery.  In my view this action seems to be an immediate way to get around the limitations of the enabling legislation, regulations and program requirements of FEMA and other disaster agencies.

Sandy relief bill says rebuilding effort should take into consideration climate-related risks; published 19 December 2012 in Homeland Security Wire.

The $60 billion Sandy relief bill being debated this week in the Senate does not specifically mention the words climate change or global warming, but it implicitly raises topics and themes which are part of the climate change discussion; the bill says that federal, state, and local agencies engaged in the post-Sandy rebuilding effort should take into consideration “future extreme weather events, sea level rise and coastal flooding”

The Senate begins debate this week of the administration request for a $60 billion package in disaster relief funds for states which suffered the wrath of Hurricane Sandy.

Scientists point to Sandy and the damage it left in its wake as disasters we are likely to experience more of as a consequence of climate change, and the Hill notes that the bill, while not specifically mentioning the words climate change or global warming, implicitly raises topics and themes which are part of the climate change discussion.

The bill, for example, urges consideration of the effects of rising sea levels in the rebuilding effort.

The bill says: “In carrying out activities funded by this title that involve repairing, rebuilding, or restoring infrastructure and restoring land, project sponsors shall consider, where appropriate, the increased risks and vulnerabilities associated with future extreme weather events, sea level rise and coastal flooding.”

The bill also says that that federal agencies, in partnership with state and local governments, should seek to ensure that recovery and rebuilding plans “reduce vulnerabilities from and build long-term resiliency to future extreme weather events, sea level rise and coastal flooding.”

Be sure to read the comments, which raise all kinds of new considerations!

Window of Opportunity

In my view, the window of opportunity for dealing with some of the long-range issues connected with sea level rise and climate change was wide open for about 6 weeks after Hurricane Sandy occurred.  As is often the case, the focus of the news media shifts quickly, this time to the terribly sad shootings in Newtown, CT. No mention of H. Sandy victims lately in the media or on the political struggle to obtain Congressional funding for recovery.

In an editorial in the NY Times today, they note:

But with the election over, outside events have now presented Mr. Obama with a series of decisions. Vote counts might suggest that he is still a long way from passing significant legislation on climate change, immigration and gun control. But Hurricane Sandy, last month’s Latino turnout for Democrats and now the Newtown shootings have also given him openings to make new arguments.

Once the glare of the spotlight is off, perhaps some progress will be made. But now other matters also want space in the window.