Some Lessons Observed Might Become Lessons Applied

Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu, standing in f...

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Lawmakers Urge Change in Disaster Law; Shreveport times, Oct. 7.

It does appear that some lessons were learned post-Katrina and a new piece of pending Congressional legislation identifies them and would like to institutionalize them.  Some excerpts from the article:

Two Gulf Coast senators say the federal government’s system for helping communities recover from disasters is rife with failures and missed opportunities and badly needs cost-saving reforms. Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana and Republican Sen. Thad Cochran of Mississippi introduced a bill recently that would change how the government provides some aid to state and local governments, victims and nonprofit groups after a disaster.

The legislation would amend current law to better track how disaster aid is used, streamline regulations and eliminate incentives to use expensive contractors over local government workers. It also aims to improve contract oversight and the application process for disaster aid.

It also would create a new “catastrophic” category for the most severe disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina, and would also press local governments to set up pre-disasterplans and adopt and enforce statewide building codes.

The Changing Look of Emergency Management

USACE Emergency Management Team

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In the current issue of Emergency Management Magazine, Oct. 3, 2011, there is an article titled How Emergency Management Is Changing, for the Better.   The author interviewed a number of prominent women emergency managers and traces the history of their involvement. Note the Diva got interviewed for this article too, though she is mainly a researcher.

How NOT To Do Recovery

Radar image of Hurricane Ike at landfall. HGX ...

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The Sunday NY Times (Oct. 2) has an article about the slow, incompetent recovery in TX  from Hurricane Ike – -which occurred 3 years ago!

Titled Extending the Miseries from the Storm, the article focuses on the slow process of providing housing aid, stemming in large measure from delays rather than assistance provided by state agencies. Some details from the article:

Delays are inevitable whenever a natural disaster causes widespread damage to homes and businesses. But housing advocates and local officials said a series of missteps by state leaders created an extraordinary backup in getting projects financed and approved, stalling work on thousands of homes.

State officials repeatedly changed the rules and guidelines that cities and counties had to follow after the local agencies had already processed applications, forcing residents to redo their applications and the cities and counties to reprocess them.

The state’s attempt to develop a new formula for allocating the second round of money to local jurisdictions caused a delay of months. The formula would have distributed money based on weather conditions instead of actual damage, was criticized by housing advocates as steering money away from minority areas and was ultimately rejected by federal housing officials.

In addition, those federal officials expressed concerns about the two state agencies that had overseen the program — the Department of Housing and Community Affairs and the Department of Rural Affairs. In a June report, federal officials found that the state housing agency had not developed written procedures for processing the applications it received from local jurisdictions. The report also found that the rural affairs agency had spent more money on administrative expenses than on actual work projects, spending 98 percent of its administrative money from the first round — $12.3 million — but only 17 percent of the money designated for projects.

“It’s taken us all an inordinate amount of time to get where we are, but we are now building houses and repairing houses,” said David Turkel, the director of the Harris County Community Services Department, which has completed 76 of 395 houses. “Had our department been dealing directly with HUD like we do on millions and millions of dollars every year, and not had to go through this state housing agency up in Austin, we would have been finished and have had all the homes repaired and built two years ago.”

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Tough Decisions re Rebuilding the CBD After an Earthquake – Christchurch, NZ

Christchurch Cathedral

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In an opinion piece in a NZ paper, the authors suggests that it is not possible to rebuild the Central Business District in Christchurch, NZ.  The issues he raises should be pertinent to other communities facing rebuilding decisions.

CBD can’t be rebuilt – Bob Jones. Some of the essential information is as follows:

Prior to the earthquakes, Christchurch’s CBD retail heart was already in trouble, with empty shops abounding, while those remaining lived off the office workers, now gone. This was a direct consequence of the construction of large suburban shopping centres, which killed off the CBD as a retail location, just as has occurred in many other cities throughout the Western World. Examples in New Zealand include Lower Hutt and now, increasingly, Hamilton.

It would be possible to build a new, smaller Christchurch CBD with high-rise office buildings to support a smaller retail base, if the office buildings were confined to a tight area. But while that is physically possible, it is absolutely not financially feasible for several reasons.

Big News: FEMA has issued the final National Disaster Recovery Framework!

Big News: FEMA just issued the final version of the National Disaster Recovery Framework.  It is not easy to find on their website, but here is the direct link. Note that the document is 116 pages long.

I have not yet had time to read it carefully, but I am sharing it right away. Hopefully this document will fill a void.

I invite your comments. But send questions, praise, or criticisms to FEMA!

 

 

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Updates on Japan’s recovery process

A BBC news article on Sept. 21, 2011 cites a World Bank report about the duration of recovery in Japan:

According to the World Bank, Japan may need up to five years to rebuild from the disastrous earthquake and tsunami that has caused up to $235bn (£145bn) of damage, the World Bank said in a report.

It also estimates that 0.5 percentage points will be shaved from the country’s economic growth this year. However, it expects growth to pick up again in the second half of the year. The 11 March earthquake and tsunami, disrupted production networks in the automotive and electronic industries.

“Damage to housing and infrastructure has been unprecedented,” the World Bank said. “Growth should pick up through subsequent quarters as reconstruction efforts, which could last five years, accelerate,” it said. The bank estimates the damage to be between $123bn and $235bn. This is the equivalent of between 2.5% and 4% of the country’s economic output in 2010.

The World Bank stressed that it was too early to accurately assess the cost of the damage, but said it was likely to be greater than the 1995 Kobe earthquake. Potential costs of the disaster
March quake and tsunami  Kobe earthquake 1995

I agree with the comment from Bill Cumming (noted below) that the time estimate seems understated, and that the response is likely to take decades.  I have no ability to estimate costs, but it the duration of the recovery is understated chances are the costs are too.

One more thing:  For those of you who are closely tracking the recovery process in Japan, I have uploaded the full text (43 pp) in English of the JAPAN_basic_guidelines_reconstruction_here. The source is Reconstruction Headquarters in Response to the Great East Japan Earthquake, a special operational unit of the Cabinet Secretariat.

Many thanks to fellow blogger Phil Palin for providing this information.

Economic Resilience Report – from an Australian Bank

CBA Building Martin Place

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From the Continuity Central website, notice of a new report titled Economic and community resilience: the impacts of natural disasters; Sept. 20.  This is a useful, informative 24 page document, and I recommend you read the full report. From the summary of findings provided by Continuity Central:

A new publication from The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) explores the lessons that governments, financial institutions and retailers around the globe can learn from Australia’s experience of the longer-term impact of natural disasters on personal income and the wider economy. [Emphasis added ]

Analysis in the report provides new insight into the short and longer term effects that natural disasters can have on sources of income, salary levels and salary recipients. For example, it shows that it takes from 6 to 18 months for the majority of personal income sources to return to pre-disaster conditions, with very high proportions of people receiving some form of government support to rebuild their lives in the interim.

Other key findings are:

• There are four main factors that shape the pathway to personal income recovery in the disaster affected communities: scale, frequency of disasters, local industry profile and proximity to population hubs;

• Frequent, repeated disasters can hinder personal income recovery. For example, the cumulative effect of flood and cyclone damage is still hurting North Queensland, with key agricultural industries (sugar cane and tropical fruits) having insufficient recovery time between events. As a result, increasing proportions of people are relying on unemployment benefits as their only source of income, with average salary amounts continuing to decline

• Even when people are not directly impacted by natural disasters, they can feel they are – two thirds of Australians believe the recent natural disasters had a negative impact on the national economy;

• Some disasters such as the 2011 Queensland floods are of such magnitude that they impact on the broader economy. However at a macro-economic level, the economic cost of disasters is usually recouped in the subsequent rebuild. For instance, tradespersons engaged in rebuilding activity can look forward to strong employment opportunities;

• Local industries are affected differently by natural disasters. Where agriculture is dominant, what is grown or farmed matters. For example, crops that rely on established trees, like bananas grown in North Queensland, may take multiple seasons to recover, impacting heavily on local employment prospects;

• Proximity to large towns/cities makes a difference to personal economic recovery. For the Victorian bushfire communities, the close proximity to metro-based sources of employment and services helped residents to maintain employment and local residency. Whilst high proportions of bushfire-affected residents migrated in the aftermath of the disaster, the majority moved less than 50 km away;

• Localised disasters have a truly national impact – almost four out of ten Australians say they were impacted by recent natural disasters (affected either directly, or indirectly through family and friends).

Housing Recovery Decisions in Japan

Sendai view

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From the Japanese press: Sendai to bar new housing in areas threatened by flooding in future tsunami.  Sept. 18.

Housing construction will be forbidden in areas of Sendai thought to be at risk of over 2-meter-high flooding during a tsunami, according to the city’s draft recovery plan.

After the massive tsunami triggered by the March 11 Great East Japan Earthquake caused catastrophic damage to the coastal areas of Sendai, the city is drawing up a reconstruction plan aimed at mitigating damage from future natural disasters.

According to the draft revealed on Sept. 15, construction of additional houses in coastal areas of Sendai thought to be at risk of flooding of over 2 meters if another tsunami strikes will generally be prohibited. Furthermore, main coastal roads will be elevated using debris and sand left by the March 11 quake and tsunami, making them “secondary breakwaters.”

Thanks to Phil Palin, blogger at www.hlswatch.com, for pointing this article out to me.