Classic Mitigation Dilemma

Rural California county faces levee dilemma

bout 400 homes and rich farmland in District-10 of Marysville, California risk being flooded should the levees protecting the area fail. The levees, stretching over twenty-eight miles, were built in the early 1900s. The area’s low population may be one reason why county officials have neglected making improvements to the levees in District-10. Local opponents of investment in shoring up the levees are worried that if the levees are improved and the area made safer, “It would open the door for more agribusiness type things, but it would also open the door for more subdivisions,” in the words of one of them.

a stretch of California levee in need of repair // Source: commons.wikimedia.org

About 400 homes and rich farmland in District-10 of Marysville, California risk being flooded should the levees protecting the area fail. The levees, stretching over twenty-eight miles, were built in the early 1900s. The area’s low population may be one reason why county officials have neglected making improvements to the levees in District-10.

The Appeal Democrat reports that that populated areas are given priority when it comes to flood protection. Former Yuba County supervisor Don Schrader, a resident of District-10 who recently announced his plan to run for a seat on the Board of Supervisors next year to represent the 5th District, is bringing attention to the twenty-eight miles of levee he says need improvement.

“Yuba County has ignored everything north of Marysville for years,” Schrader told the Appeal Democrat. “It’s an issue that is absolutely critical to Yuba County.”

Roughly forty District-10 farm-related businesses have a total value of $170 million, according to estimates by Agricultural Commissioner Luis Mendoza. Losing the agribusinesses to flooding would damage the county’s farming industry. “A levee break in District-10 would be devastating to the county agricultural economy,” said Schrader. “It would be an exorbitant cost to rebuild those businesses.”

Mendoza acknowledges the importance of keeping the agribusinesses in District-10. “It is important to do what we can to protect those facilities up there in the District-10 area,” he said. “There is a lot of commodities and a lot of shipping and drying up in that area.” The value of crops from District-10 averages $41 million annually. The figure increase substantially when shipping and drying facilities in the district are factored in.

Schrader is asking the County Board of Supervisors to fund an inundation study and a survey of the levees to determine their condition.

Supervisor Hall Stocker, representing District-10, is concerned that upgrading levees would open the door to residential development. “Agriculture is the number one economic asset in Yuba County and District-10 is a big part of that,” Stocker, who often opposes building subdivisions on farmland, told the Appeal Democrat. “It would open the door for more agribusiness type things, but it would also open the door for more subdivisions.”

District-10 carries a natural resources land-use designation, which requires that four out of five members of the Board of Supervisors vote to revoke it in order to allow residential development. Schrader does not anticipate that existing agribusinesses would sell their land for development if the levees were shored-up. “We are not trying to fix the levees so we can build homes,” he said. “We would be doing it so we can protect businesses.”

Rebuilding Issues in Colorado: questions re how and if to rebuild

From the Christian Science Monitor, an excellent account of the very difficult questions that individuals and public officials face in the aftermath of disaster. See After the Flood CO Making Tough Decisions. Some excerpts follow:

The state of Colorado faces an even larger task – restoring access to isolated ommunities. Some 200 miles of state highways and about 50 state-maintained
bridges have been severely damaged or wiped out, many in challenging mountain terrain. It’s a daunting undertaking that will cost hundreds of millions of dollars and will involve competing goals of speed, economy, and disaster mitigation and planning.

Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (D), who has said he wants to rebuild “stronger,” has set a Dec. 1 deadline for rebuilding as much as possible, before winter sets in. Overall, though, the process will take years.

No doubt many decisions will be tough, although there could be an upside.

Thanks to Chris Jones for the citation.

Disasters, Leadership and Rebuilding – Lessons from Japan and the U.S.

Mack_Plaza at Wharton School of the University...

From the Wharton School, a special report titled Disasters, Leadership and Rebuilding – Tough Lessosn from Japan and the U.S. (20 pp.)

Personally, I found the information on pages 14 and following the most interesting.  We talk a lot about resilience these days, but many of the problems identified and discussed in this article are longstanding ones. And many are intractable or “wicked problems,” in the parlance of  public administration.

Thanks to Jane Kushma for calling this article to my attention.

 

“Is Community Resilience Real or Fiction”- update on 10/10

NEW:  There was no podcast or audio recording of the event last night, but Prof. Galloway was kind enough to make his slides available.  I had asked the sponsors for some record of the event and they graciously and promptly replied.
Download the slide set here.

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If you live in the Washington DC area, this talk may be of interest. Dr. Galloway is a good speaker.

Wednesday, October 9, 6:30 p.m. – 8:30 p.m.
Is Community Resilience Real or Fiction?

Everyone has a story to tell about their experience of a natural or human-made disaster. Why do some communities bounce back and others do not? Is building community resilience possible or just wishful thinking? Mix it up with disaster expert Gerald Galloway (University of Maryland) and join a lively discussion about community resilience. No preparation or expertise required—bring your questions and ideas!

 

Disaster Preparedness — will we ever learn?

A friend brought to my attention a message on preparedness that is 450 years old.  Here is an excerpt:

‘This is how the situation stood:  the government apparently had plenty of warning, but “all was kept very private”; then they acted “as if they had had no warning, no expectation, no apprehensions, and consequently the least provision imaginable was made for it ¡n a public way”.  Before the calamity struck, ‘the richer sort of people” were able to get out of town, so those who stayed behind were mainly the poor. To add insult to injury, “there were a great many robberies and wicked practices committed”. Afterwards, ‘sorrow and sadness sat upon every face…the voice of mourning was truly heard in the streets …it was enough to pierce the stoutest heart in the world to hear them”.

This account above did not appear in last week’s New Orleans Times-Picayune, or, for that matter, in any other account of Hurricane Katrina, which struck the US Gulf Coast on Aug 29. It was written in 1722, by Daniel Defoe, in A Journal of the Plague Year, about the epidemic that ravaged London in 1665. As recent events have shown, around three centuries later nothing much has changed.

…….

Source: Faith McLellan. The Lancet, Vol 366, pp968-969 (New York, Sept 17 2005). The full text of the Defoe pamphlet is at: http://www.gutenberg.org/files/376/376-h/376-h.htm

Thanks to Ian McLean for sharing this with me.

New Study of Joplin, MO Recovery

The study, which is 43 pages, is titled:At the Crossroads of Long-Term Recovery: Joplin, Missouri Six Months after the May 22, 2011 Tornado. The authors are David M. Abramson and Derrin Culp, at the National Center for Disaster Preparedness, Earth Institute l Columbia University, New York. (Release date 15 September 2013). Part of the abstract follows:

* * *  the tornado displaced one third of the city’s population. They observed a favorable foundation for recovery, including limited physical damage to critical infrastructure or the city government’s fiscal base, minimal political conflict over the direction and control of recovery, a history of prior collaborative efforts across diverse sectors, and a highly involved and visible governor. The study documents several quick critical decisions that set a positive recovery trajectory and a FEMA-supported long-term recovery planning process. It notes that six months after the tornado, Joplin’s leadership faced hard decisions about how to apply federal and state redevelopment support and private philanthropic donations, deal with long-term community mental health issues, maintain a high level of citizen involvement, and sustain the cooperative atmosphere that had defined the first six months of recovery.

Thanks to Laurie Johnson for sending me the link.  In her cover note Laure commented:

Amongst the valuable information that they distilled from their extensive interview efforts, is an acknowledgment that recovery planning (and the formation of the Citizens Advisory Recovery Team (“CART”) within two weeks of the tornado, and which received technical, logistical and operational support from FEMA) is one of four critical actions and accomplishments that they conclude oriented Joplin towards a positive recovery trajectory.

It’s also a nice read.

I have not read it all fully, but I would like to highlight it as a useful model of a recovery case study. Recently, I have been discussing what constitutes a case study with several writers of government guidance and I recommend this example.

New Feature: Book Reviews

The Dynamics of Disaster, by Susan W. Kieffer. Norton, 2014. Hardcover, 274 pp. List price: $25.95

Since the author is a geologist, it is not surprising that this book deals with geological and meteorological hazards and disasters. The book primarily deals with natural hazards and disasters and not with the emergency management of disaster events. The chapter titles are as follows:

          Geologic Consent – do we have it or not?
Dynamics and Disasters
Terra Isn’t Firma
The Flying Carpet of ELM
The day the Mountain Blew
The Power of Water: tsunamis
Rogue Waves, Stormy Weather
Rivers in the Sky and
Water Water Everywhere … or not a drop to drink

The author has a conversational writing style and she provides useful and understandable accounts of the major types of natural hazards to those of us without formal training in the hard sciences.

The first eight chapters deal with the hazards phenomena, and the final chapter outlines how we might better prepare for and in cases prevent future natural disasters.  As others have done she suggests that the key to disaster preparedness and prevention is communication and communication among scientists and engineers together with policy makers and public sector decision makers. A unique recommendation is her call for the creation of an organization that would function like the Center for Disease Control and Prevention but focus on disasters. And she emphasizes the important of education the public and discusses how that might be done.

About the author: She is a professor emerita of geology at the Univ of IL and a recipient of the Mac Arthur foundation grant.  She hosts a blog call Geology in Motion.

In short, this book would be a useful addition to one’s library, understanding that it deals entirely with natural disasters and features hazards descriptions and analyses and not emergency management processes.

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Reviewed by Claire B. Rubin, alias The Diva.

Flood Information from Colorado

It is early in the day, but so far I have two items that may be of interest regarding the recent CO floods:

#1 The Colorado state Homeland Security and Emergency Management Agency has a new Recovery Focused Website set up. Some details:

The Colorado Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management (DHSEM) has launched a recovery focused website for the community and our partners in recovery. The website information is organized using the 14 Recovery Support Functions. The site also contains all media releases related to the flood, briefing notes from the Governor’s weekly call with local officials and presentation materials necessary in the recovery process. The site can be accessed … by clicking on the Flood Recovery tab of www.COEmergency.com. DHSEM will continue to utilize our @COEmergency Twitter account and COEmergency Facebook to share new updates and resources.

#2 See this article and the accompanying video titled: Flood warning system developed after Big Thompson Canyon proves effective. [No longer available.]

In the past 37 years, improvements in flood detection and warnings as well as flood education in the Boulder CO area.